NHL BEST BETS: December 18, 2024

2024-12-18 · 4 min read · NHL/Hockey
Kirill Kaprizov skates for the Minnesota Wild.

Via x/Minnesota Wild

Here we are again back for some Wednesday winners! We sit 22-7 on the season with our picks. There are some very tight lines for most games this week, but I think we found a few value plays here:


Florida Panthers vs. Minnesota Wild

This should be a good game no matter what, as these are two of the NHL’s best teams, and they are both fun to watch, though in different ways. The Wild play a very structured smart game based on puck possession, while the Panthers are an aggressive forechecking team that feasts on high-danger scoring chances. The Panthers are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games but have committed 135 total penalties this season, which is second most in the league. The Wild meanwhile are 26th in the league in penalties and allow the 2nd least goals per game at 2.52. Lastly, the Wild have only allowed four goals in their last two games and beat the Panthers 5-1 in their only matchup so far this season. Despite the quality of both teams after reviewing the numbers I'm leaning towards the dogs here. Pick: Minnesota ML (+114)-1.5 units


Detroit Red Wings vs. Philadelphia Flyers

This game features two struggling teams with both particularly struggling in their own end. In the last five games, Philly is giving up 3.2 goals per game while Detroit is allowing 3.67 goals per game. The penalty kill throughout the season thus far has not shown enough to limit things either as the Flyers are 14th in the sport with an 80.2 kill percentage while the Red Wings are 31st in the NHL with a 67.5 penalty kill percentage. The Red Wings also have a solid power play sitting eighth in hockey with a 24.4 power play percentage so far. Though I'm leaning towards Detroit on the money line, I say taking the over is the best bet that we can cash in this game. Pick: Over 6.5 goals (+105)- 1 unit (or my parlay will play it down to 5.5).


Vancouver Canucks vs. Utah Hockey Club (not Yet Yeti)
The Canucks let me down on Saturday, but I have faith they won't again as they bounced back against the Colorado Avalance with a 3-1 win on home ice. The Canucks have been a good team this year despite key players missing time, posting a top 12 offence, power play and penalty kill. They have had some defensive struggles but seem to be improving having just held the high-flying Avalanche to a single goal; nor does Utah seem to be the team to take advantage of them offensively. Utah is a middling team that relies on their defence and timely goaltending to steal games. The Canucks were 8-2 in their last 10 games against the Arizona Coyotes (4-1 in their last five). I expect a fairly close game here and some offensive production from both sides, but I believe the Canucks will put out the first-ever matchup between these two clubs as underdogs. Pick: Vancouver ML (+105)- 1 unit (I am tempted to also play the over)


Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Dallas Stars


Tough matchup here as both teams are high-end but have put up some stinkers. Worse yet when you look at their recent games they are remarkably similar. Over their last ten both are 6-4, average 3.2 goals for and 2.4 against and 3.2 penalties per game. I actually don't love any of the picks here, just wanted to point that out. Pick: Stay away (I won't lie, I'll probs sprinkle on the Leafs as +110 underdogs).

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By: Chase Howard

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